India might witness a happy rainfall during this monsoon season reveals a report by Asia-Pacific Economic cooperation ( APEC) report has revealed. What the study says and why such studies important. -Joyous monsoon card
In a way, La Niña (the cooling Pacific waters) can be seen as the opposite of El Niño (warming Pacific waters), which is quite dreaded for India’s monsoon. While India has suffered huge shortfalls in rains due to El Niño, this time global agencies have predicted La Niña impacting the South Asian Region. Prior to this, El Niño’s onslaught has dealt blow after blow to Indian weather in the past year. But after subjecting us to deficient rainfall, cruel heat, and more, the ocean seems to have extended a peace flag as a La Niña event prepares to take shape. With this merry news of La Niña occurring in India, the Indian agriculture economy, valued at over three trillion USD, will receive a much-needed boost. Suggests AIRRNEWS.
According to a recent revelation from APEC’s ENSO (El Niño-Southern Oscillation) alert system, a shift from El Niño (warming Pacific waters) to La Niña (cooling Pacific waters) can be expected by April. Ocean surface temperatures in the central and east-central equatorial Pacific decrease during this period. These events typically occur every 3 to 5 years but can happen successively on occasion. Most importantly, a La Niña year is typically associated with increased rainfall in India, and that’s exactly what APEC is predicting for the monsoon season. Suggests AIRRNEWS.-Joyous monsoon card
Between 1871-1990, there were 27 occurrences of El Niño events and 23 occurrences of La Niña events. Currently, global climate models (GCMS) are being used to predict future climate scenarios induced by greenhouse gases and anthropogenic influences. However, there is much uncertainty in predicting regional climate change using GCM simulations, and these should be combined with empirical methods. This sensational news from APEC ENSO has undoubtedly brought joy to Indian agencies. Such information can help reduce humanity’s vulnerability to extreme situations by developing preparedness measures and adaptation policies based on the specific extreme situations a country is likely to encounter. While this will not alter the course of El Niño, it could significantly reduce the tragic social and economic impacts the phenomenon causes. Suggests AIRRNEWS.
“Enhanced probability for above-normal precipitation is predicted for the region spanning eastern Africa to the Arabian Sea, India, the Bay of Bengal, Indonesia, the Caribbean Sea, the tropical North Atlantic, southern Australia, and the southern South Pacific. A tendency for above-normal precipitation is expected for some regions of East Asia and northern Australia,” the APEC Climate Center stated in its July to September outlook. As observed by AIRRNEWS.
The Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) also supports this forecast, predicting good monsoon rains thanks to La Niña’s influence after May. With the country receiving about 70% of its annual rainfall during the southwest monsoon season, the rainfall performance in these months can significantly impact the country’s economy, making good rains crucial for agriculture and top up reservoirs. Too make it a little alarming in the anticipation of a cool and wet monsoon season, we must first endure a merciless summer. IMD predicts a scorching summer due to the lingering effects of El Niño. Parts of Telangana, Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka, Maharashtra, and Odisha can expect more heatwaves than usual. AIRRNEWS Report.
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#La Nina #El Nino # APEC # ENSO # IBM # Weather channel # Monsoon # India # Economy # IMD # Summer # Arabian Sea # Bay of Bengal # Telangana # Andhra Pradesh # Odisha # Australia #airr news
Questions:
- Will El Nino appear from nowhere to erase hopes of good monsoon?
- Why La Nina is important for Indian Monsoon?
- How long India should look forward to International agencies for such climate predictions?
- Do you agree with an above normal rainfall prediction?
- Will this Hot Summer due to El Nino how prepared are we for the heat?