US Federal Reserve Policy ka Indian market pr kya hoga asar
haal hee mein US Federal Reserve kee policy meeting mein policy rate ko 5.25% par unchanged rakha gaya hai, lekin 2023 ke ant tak 6% tak pahunchane ke lie do daron mein badhotaree ka sanket diya gaya hai, jisase bhaarat kee byaaj daron aur baajaaron par speculation tej ho gaee hain.
· jabaki Fed ne status quo maintain rakhane ka phaisala kiya, usane inflation se nipatane ke lie is varsh do aur daron mein badhotaree kee sambhaavana ka sanket diya.
Fed kee neeti ka Indian market par kya prabhaav hai?
· Fed kee policy announcement ke baad 29 june 2023 ko Indian market 0.49% gir gae.
· phed kee neeti vibhinn chainalon ke maadhyam se Indian marketon ko prabhaavit karatee hai jaise:
o exchange rate channel: Fed kee dar badhotaree se bhaarateey rupaye sahit anya mudraon ke mukaabale amerikee dolar majaboot hota hai.
• kamajor rupaya un bhaarateey udhaarakartaon ke lie rin chukaane kee laagat bhee badhaata hai jinhonne videshee mudra mein rin liya hai.
o Capital Flow Channel: Fed kee dar badhotaree se amerika aur bhaarat ke beech byaaj dar ka antar bhee kam ho jaata hai, jisase uchch ritarn chaahane vaale videshee niveshakon ke lie bhaarat kam aakarshak ho jaata hai.
• isase bhaarat ke equity aur se capital outflow ho sakata hai, jisase parisampatti kee keematen kam ho sakatee hain aur asthirata badh sakatee hai.
• capital outflow se bhaarat ka videshee mudra bhandaar bhee kam ho sakata hai aur domestic markets mein liquidity kee kamee paida ho sakatee hai.
o Inflation Channel: Fed kee dar vrddhi bhee bhaarat kee mudraaspheeti ko do tareekon se prabhaavit kar sakatee hai.
• sabase pahale, kamajor rupaya bhaarat ke lie imported inflation ko badha sakata hai, kyonki isase tel, sona aur electronics jaise imported goods kee laagat badh jaatee hai.
• doosara, majaboot amerikee maang ke kaaran uchch vaishvik kamoditee keematen bhaarat kee ghareloo mudraaspheeti ko bhee badha sakatee hain, kyonki yah agriculture, manufacturing aur services jaise vibhinn kshetron ke lie input costs ko prabhaavit karatee hai.
Baat kre growth channel ki to Fed kee dar vrddhi ka bhaarat kee aarthik vrddhi par do tareekon se prabhaav pad sakata hai.
• sabase pahale, ek strict US monetary policy pandemic se global economic recovery ko dheema kar sakatee hai, jo bhaarat kee export prospects aur external demand ko nukasaan pahuncha sakatee hai.
• doosari jga, capital outflows and inflation pressures ke kaaran uchch ghareloo byaaj daren bhaarat kee ghareloo maang aur nivesh gatividhi ko kam kar sakatee hain.
Ab ye janna bhi zruri hai ki bhaarateey baazaaron ke lie kuchh Possible Scenarios kya hain?
Best case scenario ye hai ki Fed kee dar vrddhi gradual and moderate hai, aur clear aur credible communication ke saath hai.
o RBI ek udaar rukh banae rakhata hai aur bhaarat mein liquidity aur credit conditions ka samarthan karata hai.
o bhaarat kee aarthik recovery majaboot aur lacheelee hai, jise majaboot domestic aur external maang ka samarthan praapt hai. bhaarat kee mudraaspheeti niyantrit aur prabandhaneey hai, aur isaka fiscal aur current account ghaata niyantran mein hai.
o vaishvik jokhim uthaane kee kshamata adhik hai aur videshee niveshak bhaarat kee vikaas kshamata aur sudhaaron par sakaaraatmak bane hue hain.
RBI ko rupaye kee raksha aur mudraaspheeti par ankush lagaane ke lie apanee neeti kadee karane ke lie majaboor hona pada hai. bhaarat kee aarthik sudhaar kamazor aur asamaan hai, jo pandemic se sambandhit unceratainities aur structural bottlenecks se baadhit hai.
US Federal Reserve Policy ka Indian market pr kya hoga asar
Aasha hai ki apko is video me Fed ki policy ke baare me puri jankari mili hai. Agr apke mn me is se sambandhit koi swal hai to comment section me likhna na bhule.
#usfederalreserve #rbi #inflation #rbinews #usfederalreservepolicy
